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Posted by:
Greg Lance – Watkins
Greg_L-W
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Hi,
I assist a friend with his members only website, which is largely finance, banking & commodity orientated and caters to a global audience – the site includes a members Forum and each month my friend and I do a Webinar for members around the world that lasts between 60 & 90 minutes,
There are many fascinating posts made for members and very interesting contributions on the Forum from its well informed, diverse and well connected members.
You may find this short piece of interest it is by a retired American Military Intelligence operative. I have found from his contributions that Military Intelligence is not always and oxymoron!:
This post will be more about identifying a pattern rather than economics. I am posting it here, because there was mention of Naval vessels in today’s webinar (Iran/Strait of Hormuz)…and there isn’t really a place for this. I apologize in advance. However, I would argue that there is a direct correlation between the Military Industrial Complex and the Global Economy.
I do not claim to be an expert in anything other than cooking brautwurst, yet I was trained by the US Army on how to conduct aspects of Military Intelligence. Specifically Pattern & Trend analysis and Predictive analysis. Although, I have been out of this field for several years, I still cannot mentally turn off actively correlating esp. Military patterns.
What I am going to post is just a pattern that screams at me. Though it may not be relevant to this cause, it may be an indicator of things to come. I am confident enough that if I was still a soldier or an Army Contractor, that I would take it to my commander as Intelligence.
The importance of establishing patterns and trends is so you can find indicators that will assist in predictive analysis. Indicators are essentially actions or events that may determine what will happen next. With that said, none of us have a crystal ball and even my bratwursts will taste bad to someone.
Since the American Civil war, almost every Major Us war has been preceded by the demise of a US Naval Vessel. We will be using these demises as the pattern and the indicator.
1857: The S.S Central America sinks to the bottom of the ocean in a bad storm(allegedly). This ship was known as the gold ship and was bringing gold back to the US. The sinking of the S.S Central America is directly responsible for the financial crisis known as the Panic of 1857.
The Panic of 57′ is noted at the first Global Economic Crisis. There was not a recovery in the US until the American Civil War and Lincoln issuing the Greenback(Fiat).
1915: Though not a US or Military Vessel, the Lusitania was sunk on its voyage from the US to Britain. WW1 had already started amongst the European countries. The Germans at the time issued columns in US newspapers for vessels not to enter waters that were hostile. We know now that the Lusitania was carrying weapons to help the British in the war effort. The sinking of the Lusitania is cited as one of the reasons for the US to enter WW1.
1941: The attack on Pearl Harbor. Once again there was another war…WW2 being fought mostly in Europe and abroad. The attack on Pearl Harbor happened December 7, 1941 and the US Congress declared war the next day. We know now that President Roosevelt knew of the imminent attack and moved 4 of the newest carriers out to sea and to safety days before.
1964: The Gulf of Tonkin Incident. This is one of the most atrocious acts of propaganda for the US to start a war. In the reports it was said that the USS Maddox was attacked by the Vietnamese in a torpedo attack. This event has been declassified and NO SUCH EVENT TOOK PLACE. Though the Vietnam conflict started much earlier…The US officially started sending troops to Vietnam in 1965.
2000: Attack on the USS Cole. This attack was said to be carried out by Al-Qaeda using two suicide bombers on a small boat. Nearly one year later the US would go to war with Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan to find OBL. The following year the US would enter Iraq, allegedly for Saddam’s support of Al-Q and WMD’s
So, we can see that when there is a Major Naval event, a Major Military conflict may follow. Our next indicator would be for a ship to be attacked by Iran, China, Venezuela, North Korea, etc. there’s no shortage of enemies of the US. To be clear, this doesn’t mean if the USS Arlington or USS Lincoln are attacked in the Straight of Hormuz there will be a war. However, if something like that does happen, I will hedge my bets.
I will end this with a little speculation.
I think that the Naval attacks happen for 2 reasons.
1) Gain support from the population.
2) The United States Corporation (21 Title U.S.C. Sec. 3002 para. 15 Def. (a)) is under the Uniform Commercial Code(UCC); which is synonymous with Admiralty Law.
Thank you for your time.
Bowman
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Regards,
Greg_L-W.
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