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G.L-W’s ECLECTIC VIEWS & WEBLOG

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Storms Seem Greater,
When The Scouring of the Shore is Measured
for Short Term Consequences
– Climate is NOT Weather! …

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SCOTLAND MAP ABERDEEN 01

Hi,

Inverbervie, between Stonehaven and Montrose, on the North East coast of Scotland, just south of Aberdeen, nestles low on the shoreline facing every wind and all the scouring of the coastal drift in the rugged Northern reaches of The North Sea. At first glance one realises the area has through habitated history faced a battle, with the main road set well back on the high ground & the A92 creeping past the fisher folk on the coast, ever in danger of collapse in between the narrow fingers of land.

It is easy to be beguiled if you read The Guardian as it strives for Marxist Socialist alarmism, so readily fed by the claptrap of The Left Wing’s destructive Woke agenda.

If you study the facts we have been remarkably fortunate for the last 15,000 years because until the end of the last iceage some 13,500 years ago much of Britain was under an iron blanket of ice that was upwards of a MILE thick, ice that as it melted carved The Clyde, The Mersey, The Dee, The Wye & The Severn – The Axe, The Ex, and many shorter rivers across the Southern plains – The Thames, The Great Ouse, The Trent, The Derwent, The Ouse, Tees, Wear & Tyne, The Tweed, The Earn, The Dee, The Don, The Spey, The Ness and many more – The great melt saw the creation of The North Sea, there early man had hunted amongst the Mammoths, Wooley Rhinos, Cave Bears, early wolves, Elk, Moose, Cariboo, Buffalo and more – there are areas on the floor of The North Sea that are covered in fossils!

It was not so very long ago that The Mediterranean was 40 to 60 feet lower and The Dogger Bank was exposed as land.

The Woke clamour is endlessly duped by The Climate Crisis Grifters and the ignorant or dishonest reporters of The Guardian and the like about Climate Change trying to sell the lie that it is man-made! The temperature has indeed risen by almost 1C since the 1840s, but do remember that was The Little Iceage, when for a short time the Thames froze in winter permitting winter festivals on the ice though even now we are around 3.5C cooler than The Medieval Warm period and before that the Roman Warm Period when grapes were grown for wine in Northumberland!

The rainfall of the 1930s far exceeded that of the present time but like the 1880 the rain was heavier still but the droughts were more prevalent. It clearly astonishes folk that Scientists are paid to lie to you so that the likes of Klaus Schwab, Al Gore, John Kerry and his daughter Vannessa, Bill Gates, Soros and many other Billionaire Grifters can defraud you!

Consider the simle fact that fires in Australia, are NOT due to manmade Climate Change, they are an endemic part of weather in Australia and have been for 100s of years – One wonders why the first Europeans arrived they did not ask the indiginous peoples why they were nomadic and did not build permanent homes; they would have told us that it was because fire tore across the land on a regular basis. Fire is so common for so long that the Hawks spot smoke from fires from as far away as 30 miles and fly towards the smoke as it denotes small animals, birds and reptiles fleeing the fire and thus a ready source of food for hawks at the forefront of the fire.

That this has occured for a very long time, the hawks, when the fire starts to stop these clever birds pick up smouldering small pieces of burning dross and fly with it, fanning it to flame to readily drop it in a patch of dry grass to encourage further fires!

There is no doubt the Green policies of mankind have led to frequent  fallen leaves and dry sticks to lie on the ground as a source of food for natural fires of undergrowth and even farming!

Warm weather harms very few people but cold kills! We are fortunate as we seem to be in a period that is VERY slowly warming and Hurricanes, Tornadoes and massive storms are in fact lower than they have been for well over 100 years although there has been a massive rise in global population, mainly due to the wonder fuel Oil and its accompanying gas far fewer people have been killed by drought or flood or starvation than ever in the last 2 or 3,000 years volcanic action, which has been present at all times, has also been kind to us with Tambora, Yellow Stone, Vesuvius, Stromboli, Krakatoa, Mount Toba, Campi Flagari, Mount Congo, Mount Fuji and many more being relatively kind!

Just consider it was a mere 39,000 years ago that Campi Flagari erupted and wiped out almost all life in the whole of Europe to the Steps of Georgia and most of The Middle East to Afghanistan and deep into the Sahara – blanketing the entire area with a meter or more of volcanic ash and wiping out The Neanderthals and probably The Denisovans and most probably all of Homo Sapien’s first great spread – leaving at least a couple of millennia to repopulate!

Readers of the chattering classes in The Guardian you may well imagine mankind is in danger from damage of the Climate at our own hand – it is of course a Fraud consider:
LEWIS, Harold 01
Now consider the obscene cost of the idiotic myth of Net Zero – a multi Trillion £ & $ scam, from which great profits are available for the evil Grifters because if you think YOU will see ANY benefit from this vast fraud, think again.

How on earth might you benefit from food being made scarce, an end to farming and refusal to supply Oil or Gas when Oil is the second most common fluid on planet earth, would seem to be totally regenerative and made by some action mankind hasn’t got the slightest understanding of around 40,000 feet underground as one approaches about halfway to the mantle and temperatures start to rise, faster than we had calculated or expected – Clearly there is absolutely zero possibility Oil has ANY connection to a Fossil process and is obviously not any form of vegetable matter.

Never forget how & why it was duplicitously promoted to us as a fossil fuel and by whom and when!:
ROCKEFELLER, John 01 - OIL SCAM 01

For now, I will leave you with the banal and ill-informed fairy tale of how she would like to think her home town is disappearing a tale to beguile (insult the intelligence of) Guardian readers, it is so much more fun peddling the corrupt narrative of the Fraud to scare people, when quite obviously Inverberie is slowly being worn away by the scouring action of weather and the tides – as it has been steadily since the end of the last ice-age!

Sea levels globally show absolutely zero sign of rising and I defy ANYONE to show a single solitary square foot of land on the planet that has been inundated by rising sea levels in the last 500 years!

Do not, in your quest and calculations, overlook the undeniable fact that ALL the oceans are connected as a single vast body of water, thus if the sea level rose by 3 inches on the East Coast of America it would do likewise in The Maldives The Agean, The Azores, New Zealand and Easter Island – of which there is absolutely zero evidence though there are a few isolated areas where, due to plate tectonics, the land is moving up or down. Since satellite surveys have been possible it has been proved the interface between land and sea has shown a small net gain for land!

‘My home town is disappearing’

Inverbervie is being destroyed by storms. Rachel Keenan remembers the beautiful coastline of her childhood – and asks why more isn’t being done to save it

Inverbervie in Aberdeenshire

A decade ago, on my friend’s birthday, we took a huge tent and stayed the night at our local campsite. We laughed as we put the tent up where the grass met the shingle beach, the sunshine glistening on the water, the sound of the waves scraping the stones. I remember a night of ghost stories, teenage gossip and chasing each other with seaweed.

But the land where we pitched our tent is no longer there. It’s now somewhere in the North Sea.

My home town, Inverbervie, on the north-east coast of Scotland, is disappearing. The beachfront I played along as a child, where I collected driftwood and chased waves, looks very different now. Standing on the shingle, the coastal path that once led me safely to the shore has been mercilessly carved away. Buried second world war pillboxes have been exposed and the bridges I paddled under have almost been engulfed by water.

The Inverbervie Community caravan park is at the heart of the community – managed by locals, it is the place where they go for Bonfire Night and summer galas. The manager, Alick Smith, a 73-year-old volunteer, has seen the change first-hand over the past 45 years. He remembers a time, not too long ago, when fishers landed with full nets of salmon and locals paddled freely in the shallow basin where the River Bervie met the sea.

I visited him before and after Storm Gerrit, at the end of December. On my second visit, the paths I had walked a week earlier had disappeared. He told me to make sure I didn’t slip on the sea-soaked remnants of the campsite. My boots got tangled in the seaweed scattered on the road.

Smith had measured the land lost at the campsite. Thirteen metres had gone in the space of a year, he said – half the pitch.

The campsite started shrinking – dramatically – in November 2022. North-east Scotland saw a month’s worth of rain in two days. Whipped by the wind, the flood waters broke the banks of the Bervie. All we could do was watch. We thought it was a one-off, but the storms keep coming.

Babet, Debi, Gerrit, Henk, Isha. These days the storms arrive like angry guests every couple of weeks from October until March. We used to get the occasional reprieve, but not any more. Babet, last October, was when the fear properly set in. No one could remember seeing waves that high. We secured what we could, got out the sandbags and hoped for the best.

When we came up for air, more of the campsite was gone. The beach was strewn with old fishing nets and rubbish dredged up from the deep and the coastal path was broken, land snatched by the waves. No one outside the town seemed to care, or even notice.

The Queens pub in Inverbervie hasn’t changed since I was a child. The walls are still decorated with old pictures of the town. The laminated menu offers fresh haddock and chips. An old schoolfriend, Abbie Sclater, walks in and we fall into talking about the storms. “We’ll see how much more of the beach disappears the more storms we get,” she says. “Because it’s not if, it’s when.”

It’s not just the land she is worried about – it’s people’s lives. In October, the body of 61-year-old Peter Pelling was found three days after Babet blew itself out, 13 miles from Inverbervie in Marykirk. The road had disappeared beneath him, sweeping his car away under water. “It’s scary,” says Sclater. “So much can change in such little time to make a place totally different. Or more dangerous.”

Inverbervie, population 2,310, is a place few have heard of, even in Scotland. Built on fishing and the textile trade, it’s now a commuter town for Aberdeen’s oil and gas industry. People here don’t fear bad weather. We are taught to respect the unpredictability of the North Sea; strong winds and heavy rain are a normal Wednesday. But suddenly we are asking: what are we going to do?

Each storm now requires an extensive clear-up as the waves and tide reach new heights. For days afterwards, sand, shingle, seaweed and dead fish litter the roads near the beachfront.

We were warned last year to expect a record-breaking storm season. Maybe we would make the news again, we thought. When Babet hit, we got a mention for winds that reached 77mph. Just two months later, during Gerrit, the fiercest gale was measured at 86mph.

The growing intensity of our storms is fuelled by global heating, says Dr Larissa Naylor, a professor of geomorphology and environmental geography at the University of G lasgow. Oceans absorb most of our greenhouse gases. As they get warmer and expand, bad weather is turbocharged so that, instead of a few blustery days, we get a named storm. A name means a threat, an attack on the land and – often – more inroads by the sea.

It’s not just Inverbervie, of course. From Fiji to the Florida Keys, the Netherlands to the Bahamas, rising sea levels and more frequent extreme weather pose an existential threat.

In the coastal town of Montrose, just a 25-minute drive from Inverbervie, the sea has advanced 70 metres in the past 30 years. Tommy Stewart, an independent councillor, is bleak about the town’s future. “I would give Montrose another three years maximum and I think it’ll be under. The defences will breach if they don’t do anything.”

Back in Inverbervie, the Conservative councillor George Carr has been lobbying about coastal erosion in the area since he was elected in 2007. But he insists the climate crisis has nothing to do with it. According to Carr, the fault is with the Scottish government, for not providing enough funding for coastal maintenance in the form of “rock armour” walls – basically, lines of huge boulders to absorb the force of waves. “There was a fisherman who showed me where the rock armour should go, how it should be finished off and how

These days storms arrive like angry guests every couple of days from October until March

that prevents the effect of the sea to a large extent from eroding the beach,” he says. “But that work was never done.”

Carr also argues that vital shingle maintenance – which would move pebbles from one end of the beach to the other to soften the impact of the waves – should be done annually, but funding has not been prioritised by the Scottish government. In March, Aberdeenshire council finally undertook some of the shingle maintenance the community council had been fighting for. (The last time any of this work took place was 2018.) But locals say it was too little, too late.

For many years, most people in Inverbervie agreed with Carr that this was a local problem. But with each centimetre of the town that is lost to the sea, more are recognising that while maintenance may help with the immediate danger, it won’t fix the crisis looming on the horizon.

When I go to see the community councillor Margaret Gray, 75, we talk about the weather. Gray, who has lived in Inverbervie her whole life, is no climate activist, but she can see something is going on. “I can’t think of rain going on the way it has done,” she says, looking out of the window. “I’m not a scientist, but who can argue with them? I’d like to argue, say it’s not happening, it’s not true, but winters do seem to be milder and there’s not the same amount of snow and ice.” She has never seen the waves breach the sea defences this badly.

Spend any time researching coastal erosion in Inverbervie and you are likely to find your patience, much like the coast, wearing thin. It doesn’t matter whom you ask: it’s always someone else’s fault. Local people blame Aberdeenshire council; the council blames the Scottish government; the Scottish government blames the UK government.

When I ask Aberdeenshire council what it is doing to prevent further erosion, it says it is “not under any statutory obligation to take immediate action”, but that it remains committed to helping communities if the work is justified. Its investigations found “no need” for rock armour. As for the state of the coastal path, that has “been reported to the relevant service for an appropriate course of action”.

But the council is also very clear about the obstacle to getting anything done: “Any award of contract will be subject to the council having available funding to carry out the works.” In January, it said it needed to make cuts because of an estimated budget gap of £66.8m. It has since announced it is even cutting school crossing patrollers.

In April, in an email to members of the Inverbervie community council, Aberdeenshire council said it was “not technically and financially in a position to positively defend and/or protect the area used by the caravan park for caravans and tents”. It suggested the erosion was down to “natural factors” and says that current predictive mapping, which takes the climate crisis into account, shows “it is probable that this issue will worsen in future years”.

But even if the local authority acted now in Inverbervie – even if further work on coastal defences started tomorrow – it’s too late, according to Naylor. We can’t hold back the rising sea – we just have to adapt to it. The campsite could be given a temporary reprieve, but that is all. “This location is too vulnerable,” she says. “It may be that individuals are more directly affected than others, but it is an issue for the community.”

Aberdeenshire council argues that, in any case, what is happening to the campsite isn’t its responsibility. It is responsible only for existing coastal protection built by the council and there are “no council structures associated with the caravan park”.

On a video call from Westminster, Andrew Bowie, the Conservative MP for West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine, which includes Inverbervie, and a junior minister in the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, agrees that more should be done to protect communities from storms and erosion. “The situation around Inverbervie is a cautionary tale about coastal erosion in Scotland,” he says. He points to funding provided 15 years ago to protect a nearby area from a landslip. When I check that out, I find that the funding was given to the Bervie Braes in Stonehaven, a 15-minute drive along the coast.

He says any funding would come at a UK level, but adds that, in the meantime, “taking action to mitigate climate change and to reduce our carbon emissions and to prevent more extreme weather events will absolutely have a positive impact”.

Just in case the climate emergency doesn’t miraculously sort itself out, Inverbervie’s inhabitants have done what they can to help themselves. They have cleaned out the drains after storms, replanted flowers, removed the debris from the roads and paths. In desperation, they also raised £1,400 so they could buy a lorryload of rock armour to protect a small section of the coast.

It wasn’t enough. Last month was Scotland’s wettest April since 1947. The rain in Inverbervie was incessant. Towards the end of the month, Smith sent me a photo of the campsite, closed to the public and almost completely submerged by the sea. It has since tentatively reopened – but for how long?

It makes me think of all those moments in my childhood that I took for granted: the camping trips, the beachcombing, the paddling. In my lifetime, we have already lost so much. What will today’s children lose in theirs?

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Regards,
Greg_L-W.

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